Armand Omar Moeis

Associate Professor in Maritime Logistics  ·  SEMS Lab, Universitas Indonesia

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Research Focus

Indonesia’s maritime system — its port clusters, inter-island shipping lanes, and logistics networks — is one of the most structurally complex policy challenges in Southeast Asia. It connects over 17,000 islands, involves dozens of actors with competing interests, and responds to interventions in ways that are rarely linear or predictable. Armand approaches this challenge through multi-actor policy analysis: constructing models that trace how port operators, shipping companies, regulators, and regional governments interact and co-evolve over time, and using those models to stress-test policies before they are implemented.

This line of work, grounded in his doctoral research on Indonesian port cluster policy and his earlier training in simulation gaming for infrastructure at Delft University of Technology, has extended over the years into renewable energy systems — particularly small-scale hydropower, floating solar PV, battery storage, and geothermal investment feasibility. In both domains, the modeling logic is the same: map the feedback structure first, then test the intervention. Whether a system is a container terminal in Tanjung Priok or a national electric vehicle adoption curve, the question is always how dynamic complexity shapes — and often defeats — well-intentioned policy.

Methods & Tools

System Dynamics (Vensim, PowerSim)  ·  Discrete Event Simulation (ProModel, AnyLogic Simulation Software)  ·  Simulation Gaming  ·  Agent-Based Modeling (AnyLogic Simulation Software) ·  Multi-Actor Policy Analysis  ·  Network Analytics  ·  Value at Risk (VaR)  ·  AHP / TOPSIS / MCDM  ·  Process Mining

 

Current Research Topics

  • Maritime logistics and port policy — port cluster development, hub-and-spoke network design, container terminal operations, and decarbonization of maritime transport
  • Renewable energy investment and risk analysis — financial feasibility and quantitative risk assessment for mini hydro, floating solar PV, battery energy storage, and green hydrogen systems, with a focus on Value at Risk methods
  • Simulation gaming for complex systems — designing and deploying serious games as policy communication and engineering education tools, a line of work initiated at TU Delft (2004) on offshore wind infrastructure
  • Sustainable energy transitions — system dynamics modeling of EV adoption, renewable energy policy, and geothermal capacity development pathways in Indonesia

Selected Publications

Setiawan, Marthen, Dewi, Moeis, Hidayatno, Romijn. (2026). Investment feasibility of green hydrogen production from geothermal electricity. International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, Vol. 202, 153058.  [Q1]

Moeis, Salim, Setiawan, Destyanto. (2025). Developing a decarbonization policy model of container terminal clusters. Journal of International Logistics and Trade, 23(1), 38–55.

Moeis, Gita, Destyanto, Rahman, Hidayatno, Zagloel. (2024). Policy Analysis of Coastal-Based Special Economic Zone Development Using System Dynamics. International Journal of Technology, 15(1), 195–206.  [Q2]

Setiawan, Zahari, Purba, Moeis, Hidayatno. (2022). Investigating policies on increasing the adoption of electric vehicles in Indonesia. Journal of Cleaner Production, Vol. 380, 135097.  [Q1]

Hidayatno, Setiawan, Wikananda Supartha, Moeis, Rahman, Widiono. (2020). Investigating policies on improving household rooftop photovoltaics adoption in Indonesia. Renewable Energy, Vol. 156, 731–742.  [Q1]

Moeis, Desriani, Destyanto, Zagloel, Hidayatno, Sutrisno. (2020). Sustainability Assessment of the Tanjung Priok Port Cluster. International Journal of Technology, 11(2), 353–363.  [Q2]

→  Full publication list on Google Scholar  ·  Scopus profile

 

Background

Armand holds a bachelor’s degree in Industrial Engineering from Universitas Indonesia (2001), a Master of Science in Engineering and Policy Analysis from Delft University of Technology, the Netherlands (2004, supervised by Prof. Hans de Bruijn and Dr. Igor Mayer, on online serious games for offshore wind infrastructure), and a doctorate in Industrial Engineering from Universitas Indonesia (2020, supervised by Prof. Teuku Yuri Zagloel with Dr. Akhmad Hidayatno as co-supervisor, on multi-actor policy analysis of Indonesian port clusters). He joined the Industrial Engineering Department at Universitas Indonesia as a lecturer in 2006 and was promoted to Associate Professor in Maritime Logistics in December 2025.

Beyond academia, Armand has held director and commissioner roles across the energy sector, including a current directorship at PT Selo Kencana Energi (mini hydroelectric power plant) and an advisory board membership at PT Garuda Rekayasa Infrastruktur Digital (EV charging infrastructure). He holds certification as Insinyur Profesional Utama (IPU) and ASEAN Engineer from the ASEAN Federation of Engineering Organizations.

Dr. Armand Omar Moeis specializes in industrial engineering and maritime logistics. His work focuses on applying advanced methods to solve complex problems in port/ terminal operations. Beyond maritime logistics studies, he has interest in system dynamics (using PowerSim & Vensim), simulation games for infrastructure project management, and the transition toward contemporary, data-driven engineering. Overall, his publications reflect a shift from traditional manufacturing to macro-level systems thinking and digital-twin simulations (using AnyLogic) in Indonesian infrastructure.His primary research interests lie at the intersection of System Dynamics, Collaborative Analysis and Learning, and Multi-Method Simulation. Armand specializes in the application of AnyLogic Simulation Software to model complex systems, allowing for the integration of discrete-event, agent-based, and system dynamics methodologies.